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Russian false assumptions and incoherence come to the fore in Ukraine

8th March 2022 - 17:15 GMT | by Alex Orlov in Helsinki

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A BTR-80 based R-149BMR Kushetka-B C2 vehicle with field modifications such as rubber screens and what appears to be Kontakt-1 ERA bricks. (Photo: Russian MoD)

Russian forces have been forced to improvise following mistakes made at the start of their invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian Ground Forces had been considered as a highly efficient part of the Russian military, combining significant rocket and tube artillery firepower, numerous armoured formations and a full spectrum of combat assets such as ISR, EW, precision-strike weapons and tactical UAVs.

Considering the overwhelming quantitative and qualitative superiority of the Russian forces over the Ukrainians, many military analysts expected to witness a modern lightning-fast combined arms operation.

But the opening days of the campaign in Ukraine proved them wrong and demonstrated a different reality.

Accurate information from the battlefields is scarce but three principal conclusions can be drawn

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Alex Orlov

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Alex Orlov


Alex Orlov is a freelance journalist based in Helsinki.

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