Seoul closely monitoring North Korea for 'missile launch'
South Korea's military said on 11 March 2019 it was closely monitoring North Korean facilities after a series of satellite images triggered international alarm that Pyongyang might be preparing a long-range missile or space launch.
Analysis indicates increased activity at two key sites - the Samundong missile research facility and the Sohae rocket-testing facility. Any launch could send stuttering talks on denuclearisation into disarray.
South Korea is ‘closely tracking and looking into all activity for possible scenarios including a missile launch’ across the border, in close coordination with the US, said Kim Joon-rak, spokesman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
Satellite images of Samundong taken on February 22 showed cars and trucks at the site, as well as rail cars and cranes at a yard, US news outlet NPR reported. ‘When you put all that together, that's really what it looks like when the North Koreans are in the process of building a rocket,’ Jeffrey Lewis, a researcher at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, was quoted as saying.
Located on the outskirts of Pyongyang, the Samundong facility was built in 2012 to support development of long-range missiles and space-launch vehicles. As well as developing the Hawsong-15 ICBM, which analysts agree is capable of reaching the whole US mainland, Samundong constructed the long-range rockets that were then transported and successfully launched from the Sohae satellite launch station in 2012 and 2016.
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un agreed last year to shutter the Sohae site at a summit with the South's President Moon Jae-in in Pyongyang. Satellite pictures in August suggested workers were dismantling an engine test stand at the facility.
But the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies suggested last week rebuilding was progressing quickly at the facility. A moving structure that had been used to carry vehicles to a launch pad on rails has been restored, said respected research website 38 North. It added the work had started before last month's failed meeting on denuclearisation between Kim and US President Donald Trump.
John Bolton, President Trump's national security adviser, said 10 March that the US sees ‘exactly what they are doing’ in regard to possible missile or rocket launch moves by the nuclear-armed state. ‘We see it unblinkingly, and we don't have any illusions about what those are,’ he warned, adding his boss would be ‘pretty disappointed’ if a nuclear-armed state conducted a new missile test.
North Korea has been banned by the UN security council from carrying out space launches, as some of its technology was similar to that used for intercontinental ballistic missiles, or ICBMs.
Since the collapse of the Hanoi summit, Trump has been cautious in his forecasts, continuing to suggest a deal remains possible. Trump said Kim promised he would carry out no more missile or nuclear testing, adding, ‘I take him at his word.’
More from Defence Notes
-
How the Chinese balloon incident will impact future US air threat detection
Although the Pentagon claims that current systems can detect this type of threat, it has confirmed that measures will be taken in order to maintain the US's edge over its adversaries.
-
UK and France target 2030 for future cruise missile, seek commonality on future fighter weapons
The UK and France aim to deliver a new cruise missile in 2030 as part of the MBDA-led Future Cruise/Anti-Ship Weapon (FC/ASW) project.
-
China's multi-domain warfare concept could outpace US JADC2, warns ex-general
China's Multi-Domain Precision Warfare project is aiming to disrupt US networks, and could outpace the Joint All-Domain Command and Control initiative. A retired US Army general explains what the Pentagon is doing about it.
-
How artificial intelligence can threaten military readiness
Although AI provides several operational benefits in the defence arena, it can also put armed forces in risky situations.